{"id":16237,"date":"2025-02-11T12:18:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-11T12:18:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/torontotribune.ca\/index.php\/2025\/02\/11\/battle-of-ontario-what-election-stops-tell-us-about-party-hopes\/"},"modified":"2025-02-11T12:18:00","modified_gmt":"2025-02-11T12:18:00","slug":"battle-of-ontario-what-election-stops-tell-us-about-party-hopes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/torontotribune.ca\/index.php\/2025\/02\/11\/battle-of-ontario-what-election-stops-tell-us-about-party-hopes\/","title":{"rendered":"Battle of Ontario: What election stops tell us about party hopes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<p>Voters in southwestern Ontario are getting used to the sight of orange and blue battle buses swinging into their towns and cities, with party leaders visiting ridings they think they have a chance of flipping ahead of election day.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Ontario\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.globalnews.ca\/tag\/ontario-election\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">election campaign<\/a> is playing out on several fronts, with canvassers knocking on doors all over the province and ads promoting social media users to consider certain candidates.<\/p>\n<p>Where the leaders go \u2014 and the locations they choose to hold big policy events or photo ops \u2014 is another facet of the campaign, hinting at which areas the central campaign is optimistic or nervous about.<\/p>\n<p>Over the opening two weeks of the campaign, Global News has tracked the locations of public events all four party leaders have held and which ridings they\u2019re appearing in most.<\/p>\n<div class=\"l-article__part\" data-shortcode=\"section-heading\">\n<p>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"l-article__sectionAnchor c-sectionHeading__anchor\" id=\"southwestern-ontario-battleground\"\/><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"c-sectionHeading__title\">\n\t\t\t\tSouthwestern Ontario battleground\t\t\t<\/h2>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Progressive Conservative Party Leader Doug Ford launched his re-election campaign deep into territory the Ontario NDP won in 2022.<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad--bigbox l-article__ad c-ad--tallSticky\">\n<p>Story continues below advertisement<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>His first event of the campaign in Windsor West was a riding the NDP won in 2022, as were his next stops in London\u2014Fanshawe and London North Centre.<\/p>\n<p>A photo opportunity in St. Catharines took Ford into a riding the NDP\u2019s Jennie Stevens won in 2022, while two separate trips to Niagara Falls also took the PC onto the NDP\u2019s patch.<\/p>\n<p>Southwestern Ontario ridings appear to be on the target list for the PCs, who are promoting trade union endorsements in blue-collar areas, promising construction jobs and funding skills development training.<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-tabs\">\n<p>\n\t\t\t<button role=\"tab\" class=\"c-tabs__tab c-tabs__tab--active\" type=\"button\">More on Politics<\/button><br \/>\n\t\t\t<button role=\"tab\" class=\"c-tabs__tab\" type=\"button\">More videos<\/button>\n\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>It\u2019s also a part of the province the NDP could be worried about.<\/p>\n<p>In Niagara Centre, the NDP\u2019s Jeff Burch won with a two per cent margin in 2022 and, in Niagara Falls, Wayne Gates had a 12 per cent margin. Lisa Gretzky in Windsor had a seven per cent win for the NDP in 2022 and London\u2019s Terence Kernaghan had nine per cent.<\/p>\n<p>Polling <a href=\"https:\/\/globalnews.ca\/news\/10991364\/ontario-election-ipsos-poll-strong-pc-lead\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">conducted on the opening two days of the campaign for Global News<\/a> found the NDP vote strongest in southwestern Ontario but still trailing the Progressive Conservatives.<\/p>\n<p>The PC campaign ignored questions for this story before publication.<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-inlineSignup\" data-newsletter-inline=\"\">\n<div class=\"c-inlineSignup__image\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"170\" height=\"225\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/globalnews.ca\/wp-content\/themes\/shaw-globalnews\/images\/skyline\/national.jpg\" alt=\"For news impacting Canada and around the world, sign up for breaking news alerts delivered directly to you when they happen.\"\/>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-inlineSignup__content\">\n<h3>Get breaking National news<\/h3>\n<p>For news impacting Canada and around the world, sign up for breaking news alerts delivered directly to you when they happen.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Ford isn\u2019t the only leader visiting the southwest, with several NDP stops already in the area and more on the agenda for the coming days.<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad--bigbox l-article__ad c-ad--tallSticky\">\n<p>Story continues below advertisement<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>On the third day of the campaign, NDP Leader Stiles visited Gretzky\u2019s campaign for a photo opportunity in Windsor, also holding a news conference in Windsor\u2014Tecumseh, which the PCs won last time around.<\/p>\n<p>On Monday, she began driving west, stopping in Niagara Centre where Burch is seeking re-election.<\/p>\n<p>She made a separate stop in Hamilton Centre, where a new NDP candidate is hoping to win the riding back from independent Sarah Jama, who was removed from the party in 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Tuesday sees Stiles canvassing in London.<\/p>\n<p>Both Ontario Liberal Leader Bonnie Crombie and Stiles have made trips to northern Ontario during the campaign, appearing in ridings their parties failed to win last time around.<\/p>\n<p>The NDP chose to launch its health-care platform in Sault Ste. Marie. It\u2019s a northern city where the party is hoping to make gains and blame the previous government for an incident at the start of this year when local Steelworkers lost access to a family doctor.<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad--bigbox l-article__ad c-ad--tallSticky\">\n<p>Story continues below advertisement<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The riding was won by the PCs\u2019 Ross Romano in 2022 but the former chief whip chose not to run again. The NDP is running a local councillor in the riding, hoping for a name-recognition boost.<\/p>\n<p>One campaign source told Global News the NDP is feeling particularly optimistic about the riding. They say roughly 100 people came out in the snow to see Stiles when she arrived.<\/p>\n<p>Sault Ste. Marie is one of several PC wins from 2022 that the NDP hopes it can flip. The vast majority of places Stiles has visited in the first two weeks of the campaign voted either NDP or PC in 2022 \u2014 the leader has visited one lone Liberal riding so far.<\/p>\n<p>Beyond Sault Ste. Marie, hours up the Trans-Canada Highway in Thunder Bay, Crombie has also been campaigning. She made a series of visits to two ridings in the northern hub, one won by the NDP and the other by the PCs in 2022.<\/p>\n<section id=\"content-dynamic-trending-stories\" class=\"l-inlineStories l-inlineStories--tile u-hide-tablet-landscape\" aria-label=\"Dynamic trending stories section\">\n<p>\n\t\t<span class=\"l-inlineStories__title c-heading c-heading--strikethrough\">Trending Now<\/span>\n\t<\/p>\n<ul class=\"l-inlineStories__posts c-posts c-posts--inline \">\n<li class=\"c-posts__item\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/globalnews.ca\/news\/11011757\/james-schwalm-sentencing\/\" class=\"c-posts__inner\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"c-posts__media \">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"c-posts__thumbnail\" data-src=\"https:\/\/globalnews.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/RAW_5LT9_JAMES_SCHWALM_2.jpg?quality=85&amp;strip=all&amp;w=336&amp;h=224&amp;crop=1\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"336\" height=\"224\" alt=\"\"\/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-posts__details\">\n<p>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"c-posts__headlineText\" title=\"\u2018Cold, callous\u2019: Ex-Ontario fire captain who murdered wife handed life sentence\" data-title=\"\">\u2018Cold, callous\u2019: Ex-Ontario fire captain who murdered wife handed life sentence<\/span>\n\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"c-posts__item\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/globalnews.ca\/news\/11012861\/trump-steel-aluminum-tariffs-order\/\" class=\"c-posts__inner\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"c-posts__media \">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"c-posts__thumbnail\" data-src=\"https:\/\/globalnews.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/20250201000244-20250131210112-679d8347ce06fe4e1af88ba3jpeg_eeff26.jpg?quality=85&amp;strip=all&amp;w=336&amp;h=224&amp;crop=1\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"336\" height=\"224\" alt=\"\"\/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"c-posts__details\">\n<p>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"c-posts__headlineText\" title=\"Trump imposes 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports\" data-title=\"\">Trump imposes 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports<\/span>\n\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/section>\n<p>Ford\u2019s campaign is yet to make a stop in the north.<\/p>\n<div class=\"l-article__part\" data-shortcode=\"section-heading\">\n<p>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"l-article__sectionAnchor c-sectionHeading__anchor\" id=\"toronto-and-peel-region-fight\"\/><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"c-sectionHeading__title\">\n\t\t\t\tToronto and Peel Region fight\t\t\t<\/h2>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Seat-rich Toronto and the surrounding 905 are key battlegrounds in every election and 2025 looks set to be no different.<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad--bigbox l-article__ad c-ad--tallSticky\">\n<p>Story continues below advertisement<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>In 2022, the PCs completed a sweep of every suburban riding around the city with the exception of Oshawa, won by the NDP.<\/p>\n<p>This time around, the Ontario Liberals hope to mount a suburban battle, especially in Brampton and Mississauga. Their leader, Crombie, was mayor of Mississauga for a decade before entering provincial politics, something the party hopes to leverage.<\/p>\n<p>One Liberal campaign source said Crombie\u2019s name recognition in the region was \u201csecond to none\u201d with canvassing stops slowed by requests for photos with the former mayor.<\/p>\n<p>Crombie, who didn\u2019t hold a seat at dissolution, is running in Mississauga East\u2014Cooksville, where she spent the entire second day of the campaign.<\/p>\n<p>She\u2019s also stopped in Brampton for an announcement, although the riding in which she held that event didn\u2019t yet have a party candidate nominated to run.<\/p>\n<p>The PCs \u2014 who won all 11 of Peel Region\u2019s seats in 2022, up from eight in 2018 \u2014 have also sent Ford to the region. The Progressive Conservative leader made two stops at the beginning of February in Brampton ridings, holding a news conference and launching a local campaign.<\/p>\n<p>The Liberals and NDP have made several visits to the ridings in Toronto\u2019s 416 area.\u00a0 Both held news conferences in Spadina\u2014Fort York on Monday \u2014 the riding was won by the NDP\u2019s Chris Glover in 2022.<\/p>\n<div class=\"c-ad c-ad--bigbox l-article__ad c-ad--tallSticky\">\n<p>Story continues below advertisement<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"l-article__part\" data-shortcode=\"section-heading\">\n<p>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"l-article__sectionAnchor c-sectionHeading__anchor\" id=\"focused-green-party-campaign\"\/><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"c-sectionHeading__title\">\n\t\t\t\tFocused Green Party campaign\t\t\t<\/h2>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Green Party Leader Mike Schreiner, who has an electric car instead of a battle bus, has been focused on a select few ridings in his campaigning.<\/p>\n<p>Schreiner won Guelph in 2022 and added a second MPP to his party\u2019s fold at the end of 2023 when his party won the Kitchener Centre byelection. He has devoted significant time already in the campaign to those ridings as he looks to win both again.<\/p>\n<p>He\u2019s also headed north several times to Parry Sound\u2014Muskoka, where the Greens came within striking distance of winning in 2022. In the last election, the PCs\u2019 Graydon Smith won 20,216 votes and the Greens\u2019 Matt Richter won 18,102.<\/p>\n<p>Both are running again.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, Schreiner has spent time in Wellington-Halton Hills. The rural riding was represented by Ted Arnott, who ran under the Progressive Conservative banner but served as the Speaker.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script defer src=\"https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js#xfbml=1&#038;appId=318812448281278&#038;version=v3.3\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/globalnews.ca\/news\/11012347\/ontario-election-party-leader-tour\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Voters in southwestern Ontario are getting used to the sight of orange and blue battle buses swinging into their towns and cities, with party leaders visiting ridings they think they have a chance of flipping ahead of election day. Ontario\u2019s election campaign is playing out on several fronts, with canvassers knocking on doors all over<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":16238,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16237","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-local"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Battle of Ontario: What election stops tell us about party hopes - Toronto Tribune<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/torontotribune.ca\/index.php\/2025\/02\/11\/battle-of-ontario-what-election-stops-tell-us-about-party-hopes\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Battle of Ontario: What election stops tell us about party hopes - Toronto Tribune\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Voters in southwestern Ontario are getting used to the sight of orange and blue battle buses swinging into their towns and cities, with party leaders visiting ridings they think they have a chance of flipping ahead of election day. Ontario\u2019s election campaign is playing out on several fronts, with canvassers knocking on doors all over\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/torontotribune.ca\/index.php\/2025\/02\/11\/battle-of-ontario-what-election-stops-tell-us-about-party-hopes\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Toronto Tribune\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-02-11T12:18:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/d21y75miwcfqoq.cloudfront.net\/70c8fc80\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Emmett Wallace\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Emmett Wallace\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/torontotribune.ca\/index.php\/2025\/02\/11\/battle-of-ontario-what-election-stops-tell-us-about-party-hopes\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/torontotribune.ca\/index.php\/2025\/02\/11\/battle-of-ontario-what-election-stops-tell-us-about-party-hopes\/\",\"name\":\"Battle of Ontario: What election stops tell us about party hopes - 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